Market Analyzer

DEMO ACCOUNT ONLY updated Fri 06 Nov 21:26 Milan · last candle closed 21:00

Gold daily trend · the rule that passed the 22-year test

DOWN

No position - stay out (long-only rule, no short)

Momentum (120 days)	4,114 vs 4,562	–
Averages MA20 / MA100	4,088 / 4,236	–
Gold volatility	22% / year	size ~0 EUR

Last daily close 2026-11-05. Long-only: when the trend is down the rule holds nothing. Trades last weeks, so overnight funding applies.

High-impact news (Milan time)

No more high-impact USD/EUR events this week.

Gold

4,073.00

ATR (typical 1h move): 17.29

Score

+0.0

-5 sell0+5 buy

NEUTRAL - no clear direction

Strategy signal

=== GOLD ===  candle closed: Fri 06 Nov 20:00 UTC
price 4073.00 | trend: DOWN | ADX 22 (weak trend)
No fresh signal -> WAIT.

Last 150 hours

By group

Trend

+0.0Momentum

-0.2Reversal

+0.0Levels

-0.5Timeframes

+0.0Market context

+0.3

Key levels

Resistance (swing)	4,073.80
R1	4,143.77
Pivot	4,107.43
S1	4,059.07
Support (swing)	4,044.50
Yesterday high	4,155.80
Yesterday low	4,071.10

All indicators

Indicator	Group	Now	Vote
ema_stack Price, EMA50 and EMA200 in order (up or down)	Trend	EMA50 4,072.50 / EMA200 4,043.45	▲ buy weight 0 (no tested edge)
ema200 Price above or below the 200-candle average	Trend	EMA200 4,043.45	▲ buy weight 0 (no tested edge)
adx_di ADX > 20 and which side (+DI / -DI) is stronger	Trend	ADX 22, +DI 19 / -DI 21	▼ sell weight 0 (no tested edge)
supertrend Supertrend direction (ATR-based trend line)	Trend	line 4,103.22	▼ sell weight 0 (no tested edge)
ichimoku Price above/below the Ichimoku cloud, Tenkan vs Kijun	Trend	Tenkan 4,061.65 / Kijun 4,086.35	– weight 0 (no tested edge)
donchian Price in the top/bottom 20% of the last 55 candles	Trend	range 4,035.10 - 4,155.80	– weight 0 (no tested edge)
rsi RSI above 55 (up) or below 45 (down)	Momentum	RSI 48	– weight 0 (no tested edge)
macd MACD histogram positive or negative	Momentum	histogram +1.70	▲ buy weight 0.5
stoch Stochastic %K above or below %D	Momentum	%K 68 / %D 74	▼ sell weight 0 (no tested edge)
roc Price change over the last 24 candles	Momentum	-1.03% in 24h	▼ sell weight 0 (no tested edge)
rsi_extreme RSI below 30 = oversold (up), above 70 = overbought (down)	Reversal	RSI 48	– weight 0 (no tested edge)
bollinger Price outside the Bollinger bands (expects a bounce back)	Reversal	bands 4,043.56 - 4,095.41	– weight 0 (no tested edge)
pivot Price above or below today's pivot point	Levels	pivot 4,107.43	▼ sell weight 0.5
prev_day Price above yesterday's high (up) or below yesterday's low (down)	Levels	yesterday 4,071.10 - 4,155.80	– weight 0 (no tested edge)
tf_4h Trend on 4-hour candles (Supertrend)	Timeframes	4h trend up	▲ buy weight 0 (no tested edge)
tf_daily Trend on daily candles (EMA20 vs EMA50)	Timeframes	daily trend down	▼ sell weight 0 (no tested edge)
dollar US dollar index trend (a stronger dollar pushes gold and EUR/USD down)	Market context	DXY 102.30	▼ sell weight 0 (no tested edge)
yields US 10-year yield trend (higher yields push gold and EUR/USD down)	Market context	US10Y 4.86%	▲ buy weight 0 (no tested edge)
vix VIX fear index trend (fear helps gold, hurts EUR/USD)	Market context	VIX 24.5	▲ buy weight 0 (no tested edge)

EUR/USD

1.11421

ATR (typical 1h move): 0.00126

Score

-3.7

-5 sell0+5 buy

STRONG SELL setup

Score uses equal weights: the tester has not found reliable indicators for this instrument yet. Read it as a description of the market, not a prediction.

Strategy signal

=== EURUSD ===  candle closed: Fri 06 Nov 20:00 UTC
price 1.11421 | trend: DOWN | ADX 38 (trending)
No fresh signal -> WAIT.

Last 150 hours

By group

Trend

-1.0Momentum

-1.0Reversal

+0.5Levels

-1.0Timeframes

-1.0Market context

-0.3

Key levels

Resistance (swing)	1.11570
R1	1.12659
Pivot	1.12364
S1	1.12015
Support (swing)	1.11396
Yesterday high	1.12714
Yesterday low	1.12070

All indicators

Indicator	Group	Now	Vote
ema_stack Price, EMA50 and EMA200 in order (up or down)	Trend	EMA50 1.11982 / EMA200 1.12017	▼ sell
ema200 Price above or below the 200-candle average	Trend	EMA200 1.12017	▼ sell
adx_di ADX > 20 and which side (+DI / -DI) is stronger	Trend	ADX 38, +DI 14 / -DI 40	▼ sell
supertrend Supertrend direction (ATR-based trend line)	Trend	line 1.11794	▼ sell
ichimoku Price above/below the Ichimoku cloud, Tenkan vs Kijun	Trend	Tenkan 1.11595 / Kijun 1.11910	▼ sell
donchian Price in the top/bottom 20% of the last 55 candles	Trend	range 1.11359 - 1.12752	▼ sell
rsi RSI above 55 (up) or below 45 (down)	Momentum	RSI 25	▼ sell
macd MACD histogram positive or negative	Momentum	histogram -0.00020	▼ sell
stoch Stochastic %K above or below %D	Momentum	%K 9 / %D 15	▼ sell
roc Price change over the last 24 candles	Momentum	-0.76% in 24h	▼ sell
rsi_extreme RSI below 30 = oversold (up), above 70 = overbought (down)	Reversal	RSI 25	▲ buy
bollinger Price outside the Bollinger bands (expects a bounce back)	Reversal	bands 1.11266 - 1.12271	–
pivot Price above or below today's pivot point	Levels	pivot 1.12364	▼ sell
prev_day Price above yesterday's high (up) or below yesterday's low (down)	Levels	yesterday 1.12070 - 1.12714	▼ sell
tf_4h Trend on 4-hour candles (Supertrend)	Timeframes	4h trend down	▼ sell
tf_daily Trend on daily candles (EMA20 vs EMA50)	Timeframes	daily trend down	▼ sell
dollar US dollar index trend (a stronger dollar pushes gold and EUR/USD down)	Market context	DXY 102.30	▼ sell
yields US 10-year yield trend (higher yields push gold and EUR/USD down)	Market context	US10Y 4.86%	▲ buy
vix VIX fear index trend (fear helps gold, hurts EUR/USD)	Market context	VIX 24.5	▼ sell

Market context

US dollar index	102.30	▲ rising
US 10-year yield %	4.86	▼ falling
VIX fear index	24.5	▲ rising

Rising dollar or yields usually push gold and EUR/USD down. Rising fear (VIX) helps gold.

Indicator tester: indicators with a tested edge

Gold: macd, pivot
EUR/USD: no indicator passed the test

Indicators with no tested edge still show their vote, but have weight 0 in the score.